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10-K2026-02-26· merged:deepseek-v4-flash

BWIN · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

0001781755-26-000018

SEC filing

Summary

Revenue grew 8% to $1.5B, but net loss widened to $54.2M; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 20bps to 22.7%.

Key takeaways

Full analysis

Business

Company Overview

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. is a holding company whose sole material asset is its ownership interest in Baldwin Holdings, through which all business is conducted. The company describes itself as an independent insurance distribution firm that delivers bespoke client solutions, services, and innovation through a comprehensive and tailored approach to risk management, insurance, and employee benefits.

Reporting Segments

Baldwin operates through three operating groups:

  • Insurance Advisory Solutions (IAS): Provides commercial risk management, employee benefits, and private risk management solutions to businesses and high-net-worth individuals. It includes world-class industry-focused practice groups and product Centers of Excellence.
  • Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions (UCTS): Comprises MSI (manufactures proprietary technology-enabled insurance products), Capacity Solutions (reinsurance brokerage via Juniper Re, reinsurance MGA via MultiStrat, and captive management), and the Captive business (including TBG Assurance Company, a protected cell captive). In January 2025, Baldwin received approval to form a Texas-domiciled reciprocal insurance exchange (the Reciprocal), which is not consolidated.
  • Mainstreet Insurance Solutions (MIS): Offers personal insurance, commercial insurance, and life and health solutions to individuals and businesses, focusing on sheltered distribution channels such as new home builders, realtors, and mortgage lenders. It also provides Medicare consultation and ACA solutions.

Revenue share by segment is not disclosed in this section.

Products & Platforms

Baldwin manufactures proprietary products through MSI, including more than 20 MGA products across commercial, personal, and professional lines (e.g., commercial umbrella, commercial property, general liability, management liability). It also offers a national embedded renters insurance product sold at point of lease via integrations with property management software. Other named platforms include Juniper Re (reinsurance brokerage), MultiStrat (reinsurance MGA), and the Captive (TBG Assurance Company).

Go-To-Market & Customers

Products are distributed internally via Baldwin's own risk advisors across IAS and MIS, and externally via select distribution partners. MIS targets clients through sheltered channels, while IAS serves businesses and high-net-worth individuals directly. Clients are highly diversified; no single client represents more than 1% of core commissions and fees. However, two insurance company partners accounted for approximately 17% of core commissions and fees in 2025.

Competition

The insurance brokerage industry is highly competitive. Baldwin competes with large public firms such as Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Willis Towers Watson, Arthur J. Gallagher, and Brown & Brown; private companies like Hub International and USI; and in personal lines, Goosehead Insurance and The Woodlands Financial Group. Competition is based on reputation, client service, product offerings, and ability to tailor services.

Strategy

Baldwin's strategy centers on reinvesting retained earnings into growth. Key pillars include: (1) investing in existing businesses to drive organic growth (through new business wins, broader offerings, and capturing more economics via MSI); (2) pursuing inorganic growth through partnerships (37 firms since 2020, totaling $909 million of acquired revenue); (3) recruiting, training, and developing talent; (4) expanding geographic representation and product/industry expertise; and (5) continuing to build out the MSI platform.

Human Capital

As of the filing, Baldwin had approximately 5,000 colleagues (4,955 full-time, 65 part-time) plus over 8,300 independent contracted agents. The annual retention rate was 81% for 2025. Women comprise 59% of the colleague population and 52% of leadership positions. Baldwin emphasizes a people-first culture and has received recognition as a Great Place to Work and Fortune Best Workplaces in Financial Services and Insurance.

Period Performance

Period Performance

For fiscal 2025, The Baldwin Insurance Group reported total revenues of $1.505 billion, an 8% increase from $1.389 billion in 2024. Core commissions and fees grew 9% organically, driven by new and renewal business and strong performance from MSI, partially offset by a $5.8 million decline from the divestiture of the Wholesale Business. Operating expenses rose 8% to $1.431 billion, with notable increases in other operating expenses (25% higher) due to Captive business losses, professional fees, and technology investments. Operating income improved 22% to $73.9 million, but net loss widened to $54.2 million ($0.50 loss per diluted share) from $41.1 million ($0.39 loss per share) in the prior year, primarily due to a $38.7 million decrease in gain on divestitures and higher interest and amortization costs. Adjusted EBITDA grew 9% to $341.5 million, with margin expanding 20 basis points to 22.7%, reflecting disciplined cost management and revenue mix shifts.

Segment Dynamics

Insurance Advisory Solutions (IAS): Revenue rose 2% to $727.3 million, with core commissions up 3% but profit-sharing down 5%. Sales velocity was 19% (vs. 21% prior year), and rate softness, especially in property lines, created 380 bps of headwind. Operating income increased 20% to $56.3 million as colleague compensation decreased 3% due to lower earnout incentives.

Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions (UCTS): Revenue surged 16% to $549.5 million, led by MSI ($41.2M increase), the new Captive business ($22.6M), and Capacity Solutions ($13.9M). The Wholesale divestiture reduced core commissions by $5.5M. Operating income jumped 46% to $72.2 million, though other operating expenses rose 83% driven by Captive losses and professional fees.

Mainstreet Insurance Solutions (MIS): Revenue grew 6% to $297.7 million, with core commissions up 6%. The Hippo Homebuilder Distribution Network contributed $15.8M, while Medicare declined $5.0M. Operating income fell 15% to $35.8 million due to higher amortization and operating expenses.

Forward View

Management expects interest expense to grow in the near term due to higher borrowings for partnerships, partially offset by lower rates. Rate softness, particularly in commercial property, is expected to persist into 2026, pressuring organic growth. The company continues to invest in automation and the $3B/30 Catalyst Program for long-term efficiency. The January 2026 acquisition of CAC Group (aggregate cash and stock consideration) significantly expands specialty capabilities, with potential contingent consideration up to $250 million. No specific quantitative guidance was provided, but the company believes cash flows and available credit are sufficient to fund operations and commitments.

Notes & Operating Detail

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

From the Notes, the company's long-term debt principal at December 31, 2025 was $1,603.6 million, complemented by $107.0 million outstanding on the revolving line of credit, for total debt of $1,710.6 million. Contingent earnout liabilities, a significant balance sheet item, fell to $23.3 million from $145.6 million year-over-year, reflecting settlements and fair value adjustments. No cash or equity figures are explicitly provided in the Notes themselves; those appear in the primary financial statements.

Commitments & Contractual Obligations

The only purchase commitment disclosed in the Notes is a $2.5 million donation pledge to the University of South Florida, payable through October 2028. The Chairman is expected to fund half of this amount. No other material commitments (e.g., supply agreements, capital expenditure obligations) are mentioned.

Capital Allocation (buybacks, dividends, debt, capex)

The Notes do not report any share buyback programs, dividend declarations, or net debt changes. Debt transactions are described qualitatively (refinancing in January and September 2025) but no net change amount is stated. Capital expenditures are not discussed in the Notes. Share-based compensation is detailed but is an expense, not a capital allocation.

Segment / Geographic Mix (if disclosed at note level)

Note 23 on Segment Information is referenced but its full content is not included in the provided text. Only goodwill by operating group is available from Note 10: Insurance Advisory Solutions $932.5M, Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions $241.9M, and Mainstreet Insurance Solutions $342.8M. No revenue, operating income, or geographic data are given in the extracted Notes.

Risk Factors

Financial & Capital Structure

The 10-K highlights significant indebtedness following the CAC Group transaction. Total debt of approximately $1.7 billion includes a $1.604 billion Term Loan B bearing interest at 6.25% (refinanced January 2, 2026) and $600 million 7.125% Senior Secured Notes. Debt servicing costs in 2025 were $279.1 million ($163.2M principal, $115.3M interest). The incremental $600 million term loan B increases leverage and interest rate exposure. Contingent earnout liabilities from prior acquisitions are estimated at $23.3M (discounted) with a maximum of $50M. The CAC Group transaction adds a $70M deferred payment due in 2030 and a contingent earnout up to $250M, creating multi-year cash flow obligations. Credit rating downgrades could further raise financing costs and limit access to capital markets.

Macroeconomic & Industry

Macroeconomic conditions pose significant risks. Inflation is expected to increase compensation and rent expenses, while interest rate hikes directly affect floating-rate debt costs. A recession could reduce demand for insurance and depress premium rates, which are cyclical and unpredictable. Two insurance partners account for 17% of core commissions, creating concentration risk. Adverse trends in the insurance industry, such as alternative risk transfer mechanisms or direct-to-consumer models, could reduce commission income.

Operational & Technology

The company faces operational risks from technology adoption, particularly AI. Flawed algorithms, regulatory scrutiny, or reputational harm from AI use could impact business. Dependence on third-party vendors for key functions (billing, IT) introduces single points of failure; some vendors have threatened to discontinue services. Cybersecurity remains critical given past breaches and increasing attack surfaces. A disaster or business continuity failure could cause material financial loss. The integration of acquired partnerships, especially CAC Group, poses risks of management distraction, culture clashes, and failure to achieve synergies.

Legal & Regulatory

Regulatory risks are broad. Changes in CMS rules for Medicare marketing could constrain enrollment periods. State and federal anti-noncompete laws threaten the enforceability of restrictive covenants. Climate change regulations may increase compliance costs and shift demand. The captive insurance advisory business is subject to IRS scrutiny under Section 831(b). Tort reform could reduce casualty insurance demand. Non-compliance with licensing or data privacy laws (CCPA, GDPR) could lead to fines and licensing revocation.

Organizational Structure

As a holding company with 61% ownership of Baldwin Holdings, Baldwin Insurance Group depends on distributions from its subsidiaries. The Pre-IPO LLC Members retain significant approval rights, and Tax Receivable Agreement payments could be substantial. The organizational structure may limit flexibility and create conflicts of interest with minority shareholders.

Cash Flow Quality

The provided excerpt does not contain the actual cash flow statement figures. The document references 'Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows' on page 90, but the numbers are not included in the text. Therefore, no analysis can be performed.