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10-K2026-02-26· merged:deepseek-v4-flash

AA · Alcoa Corporation

0001193125-26-077167

SEC filing

Summary

Higher aluminum prices and gain on Saudi JV sale drove net income to $1,157M, offset by restructuring charges and tariffs.

Key takeaways

Full analysis

Business

Company Overview

Alcoa Corporation, a Delaware corporation that became independent on November 1, 2016, is active in all aspects of the upstream aluminum industry: bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting and casting. The Company has direct and indirect ownership of 25 operating locations across eight countries on five continents. Aluminum and alumina are commodity products priced on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and Alumina Price Index (API), respectively, leading to significant price volatility.

Reporting Segments

The Company operates two reportable business segments. The Alumina segment consists of bauxite mines and alumina refineries, producing smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. In 2025, total bauxite production (operated and equity) was 37.5 million dry metric tons, with 33.2 million delivered to Alcoa refineries. The segment had consolidated refining capacity of 11,653,000 mtpy, with 1,014,000 mtpy idle (including 800,000 mtpy at San Ciprián). The Aluminum segment comprises worldwide smelting and casting operations plus energy assets. As of December 31, 2025, consolidated smelting capacity was 2,645,000 mtpy, with 196,000 mtpy idle. The segment also includes a portfolio of energy assets (hydroelectric and coal) in Brazil, Canada, and the United States.

Products & Platforms

Alumina products: smelter grade alumina (primary input for aluminum smelters) and non-metallurgical grade (sold to industrial chemical customers). Aluminum products: commodity grade ingot (t-bar, sow, standard ingot) and value-add ingot (foundry, billet, rod, slab). The Company markets its low-carbon and recycled content products under the Sustana® brand, including EcoDura® (recycled), EcoLum® (low carbon), and EcoSource® (low carbon alumina). ELYSIS® Limited Partnership is advancing inert anode technology that eliminates direct greenhouse gas emissions; development-scale aluminum has been sold to Ball Corporation, Nexans, and Unilever.

Go-To-Market & Customers

Alumina is sold globally under contracts typically priced on the API with a negotiated adjustment; about 95% of third-party shipments were on this basis in 2025. Aluminum is sold via contracts ranging from multi-year to spot, with pricing tied to LME price, regional premium, and product premium. The Company's largest customer for smelter grade alumina is its own aluminum smelters (34% of total shipments). Third-party sales include traders. The Company's internal integration provides a captive market.

Competition

Alcoa faces highly competitive conditions across the aluminum supply chain. In alumina, it is the largest producer outside of China, competing with South32, Rio Tinto, Glencore, and Asian refineries. In bauxite, competitors include Rio Tinto and suppliers from Guinea, Australia, and Brazil. In primary aluminum, competitors include Emirates Global Aluminum, Norsk Hydro, Rio Tinto, Century Aluminum, Vedanta, and commodity traders (Glencore, Trafigura, etc.). Competitive advantages cited include cost position (first quartile global alumina production in 2025, though potentially second quartile due to lower bauxite grades), integrated supply chain, long-term energy arrangements, and 86% of smelting powered by renewable energy.

Strategy

Alcoa's strategy focuses on four pillars: (1) Safety Performance and Operational Excellence — using the Alcoa Business System to drive stability and productivity; (2) Building a High-Performance Culture — implementing a behavior model emphasizing safety, communication, prioritization, accountability, and continuous learning; (3) Capital Allocation Priorities — maintaining a strong balance sheet, low debt, investing in assets, and returning cash to shareholders at appropriate times; (4) Disciplined Growth — pursuing organic and inorganic opportunities that exceed cost of capital and build on existing strengths. Key 2025 actions included the sale of the Saudi Arabia joint venture, permanent closure of Kwinana refinery, formation of the San Ciprián joint venture, and record production at six sites.

Human Capital

As of December 31, 2025, Alcoa had approximately 14,900 employees in 16 countries, with women comprising about 22% of the global workforce. About 11,400 employees (77%) are covered by collective bargaining agreements, including 1,100 in the U.S., 2,000 in Europe, 1,400 in Canada, 4,500 in South America, and 2,400 in Australia. Recent agreements were ratified at Portland (Australia) and Fjarðaál (Iceland); negotiations are ongoing at Bécancour (Canada) and San Ciprián (Spain). The Company emphasizes safety, continuous improvement, and a high-performance culture.

Period Performance

Period Performance

Alcoa reported a significant improvement in financial results for fiscal 2025. Consolidated revenue increased 7.9% to $12,831 million, driven by higher aluminum prices (average realized price up 18.8% to $3,376/mt) and higher bauxite offtake volumes, partially offset by lower alumina prices (average realized price down 12.1% to $415/mt) and lower aluminum shipments due to the termination of a joint venture supply agreement. Gross margin expanded to 16.9% from 15.6% in 2024. Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation surged to $1,157 million from $60 million, reflecting a $786 million gain on the sale of the Saudi Arabia joint venture, a $197 million mark-to-market gain on Ma'aden shares, and a $320 million favorable change in income tax (benefit of $55 million vs. provision of $265 million). These gains were partially offset by $918 million in restructuring charges (mainly the Kwinana refinery closure) and a $144 million goodwill impairment in the Alumina segment. Diluted EPS rose to $4.37 from $0.26.

Segment Dynamics

Alumina Segment: Sales decreased 5.3% to $6,557 million, driven by lower average realized alumina prices (down $57/mt) and unfavorable currency impacts, partially offset by higher bauxite offtake volumes. Segment Adjusted EBITDA fell 37.4% to $882 million as lower pricing, asset retirement obligation charges (primarily Poços de Caldas), higher raw material costs (caustic soda, lime), and increased production costs outweighed bauxite benefits. Alumina production declined 4% to 9,640 kmt due to the full curtailment of Kwinana.

Aluminum Segment: Sales increased 15.6% to $8,379 million, driven by higher average realized aluminum prices (up $535/mt) from higher LME and regional premiums (Midwest premium up 211%) and higher energy pricing. Segment Adjusted EBITDA rose 61.0% to $1,058 million, benefiting from higher pricing, carbon dioxide compensation in Spain and Norway, and higher hydro-electric pricing in Brazil. These gains were partially offset by Section 232 tariffs on Canadian imports and higher alumina input costs. Aluminum production increased 5% to 2,319 kmt due to restarts at Alumar, San Ciprián, and Lista smelters.

Forward View

Management provided 2026 guidance: Alumina production of 9.7–9.9 million metric tons (up from 2025 due to productivity) with shipments of 11.8–12.0 million metric tons. Aluminum production expected at 2.4–2.6 million metric tons and shipments at 2.6–2.8 million metric tons. Capital expenditures of approximately $750 million are planned for sustaining and return-seeking projects. The San Ciprián smelter restart is expected to be completed by mid-2026. The company also expects lower bauxite offtake sales in 2026 and a full-year impact from Section 232 tariffs offset by Midwest premium revenue.

Risk Factors

Industry and Market Risks

Alcoa's primary risk is the cyclical nature of aluminum markets. LME price volatility in 2025 (high $2,968, low $2,285/mt) directly impacts revenue. Non-market forces (political instability, sanctions, trade disputes) can disrupt supply-demand balance. The Chinese market's production decisions and global economic slowdowns pose additional threats.

Regulatory and Geopolitical Risks

Section 232 tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports escalated to 50% by mid-2025, costing $571 million. Trade policy uncertainty remains high. Climate regulations (EU CBAM effective Jan 2026) increase compliance costs. Ongoing conflicts (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East) disrupt supply chains and energy markets, particularly impacting Spanish operations.

Operational and Supply Chain Risks

Energy costs and availability are critical. The San Ciprián smelter restart was delayed by a power outage, operating at 65% capacity; full restart expected mid-2026. Alcoa's Western Australia bauxite quality declined due to prolonged permitting, increasing refining costs. Kwinana refinery closure (permanent since Sep 2025) incurred $895 million charges with substantial future cash outlays.

Strategic and Financial Risks

Portfolio optimization (joint ventures, divestitures) carries execution risk. The San Ciprián JV with Trento EQT (75% owned) may not achieve intended benefits. Debt covenants (interest coverage ≥4.00x, debt leverage ≤0.60) restrict financial flexibility. Declines in marketable securities (Ma'aden shares at $1,397) could impact earnings. Capital expenditures projected at $750 million for 2026, with potential increase for technology investments.

Cybersecurity and Labor Risks

Cybersecurity threats are increasingly sophisticated; past incidents not material but could become significant. Labor negotiations and workforce attrition could disrupt operations. Competitive labor market may increase costs.