0001628280-26-050179
SEC filingQ2营收增4.1%至$9.4B,但Adjusted EPS持平,成本压力与欧洲疲软拖累盈利。
| 指标 | 本期 | 去年同期 | 同比 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9,355M | $8,984M | +4.1% |
| Gross Profit | $3,986M | $2,937M | +35.7% |
| Gross Margin | 42.6% | 32.7% | +990bps |
| Operating Income | $1,946M | $1,172M | +66.0% |
| Operating Margin | 20.8% | 13.0% | +780bps |
| Net Income | $1,548M | $641M | +141.5% |
| Diluted EPS | $1.20 | $0.49 | +144.9% |
| Adjusted Operating Income | $1,222M | $1,283M | -4.8% |
| Adjusted Operating Margin | 13.1% | 14.3% | -120bps |
| Adjusted EPS | $0.73 | $0.73 | 0% |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1,322M | $1,400M | -5.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $668M | $818M | -18.3% |
Q2营收增长4.1%至$9.4B,主要受汇率利好(+$183M)和Organic Net Revenue增长2.2%驱动。Organic增长中,定价贡献1.5pp,量/组合贡献0.7pp。新兴市场表现强劲(Organic +4.4%),而发达市场仅+0.7%,欧洲因巧克力量价双降而拖累。
GAAP毛利率大幅提升990bps至42.6%,主要因衍生品mark-to-market收益$827M(去年同期亏损$93M)。剔除该影响后,Adjusted Operating Margin下降120bps至13.1%,反映原材料成本上升、SG&A费用增加(+$182M)以及ERP实施成本(+$22M)的压力。
盈利质量方面,GAAP Net Income大增141.5%至$1.5B,但主要受非经常性衍生品收益驱动。Adjusted EPS持平于$0.73,constant currency口径下降2.7%,显示运营盈利实际承压。经营现金流$1.3B略降,FCF转化率约43%(FCF/Net Income),低于历史水平,部分因资本开支增加。
| 分部 | 营收 | 同比 | 经营利润 | 利润率 | 驱动 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latin America | $1,374M | +15.1% | $166M | 12.1% | 定价+7.9pp,汇率+6.7pp,量增 |
| AMEA | $1,971M | +8.2% | $254M | 12.9% | 量增+5.2pp,定价+1.9pp,成本上升 |
| Europe | $3,377M | -1.0% | $382M | 11.3% | 量价双降,重组与ERP成本高企 |
| North America | $2,633M | +3.0% | $431M | 16.4% | 定价+2.2pp,量增+1.2pp,Clif Bar成本拖累 |
| 项目 | 本期 | 上期/变化 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & ST investments | $1,716M | $2,125M |
| Total Debt | $21,450M | $21,205M |
| Net Debt | $19,734M | $19,080M |
| Inventory | $4,405M | $4,419M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1,322M | $1,400M |
| Capex | $654M | $582M |
| Free Cash Flow | $668M | $818M |
| FCF转化率 | 43% | 78% |
Net Debt/EBITDA(TTM)约2.9倍,杠杆水平稳定。债务结构以长期为主,加权平均期限6.8年。
资本配置:Q2回购$210M(约3M股),剩余授权$6.5B;季度股息上调4%至$0.52,显示股东回报承诺。债务净增$0.3B,主要用于瑞士法郎债券发行($1.1B)。
指引:2026年资本开支预计最高$1.4B,主要用于工厂现代化与产能扩张。
一次性异常项:剔除衍生品mark-to-market收益$827M后,Adjusted Operating Income下降4.8%。其他非经常性项目包括重组费用$9M、ERP成本$59M、地缘冲突费用$11M、货币重估损失$11M及养老金结算损失$2M。
主要风险:关税政策不确定性(IEEPA关税已付$20M,仅收回$6M);可可成本虽回落但仍高企;欧洲需求疲软;地缘政治冲突持续。机会:新兴市场增长强劲,股息上调显示管理层信心。