0000080424-26-000093
SEC filing宝洁FY26营收利润双增,Q4盈利承压,FY27指引温和增长。
| 指标 | 本期 | 去年同期 | 同比 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales (Q4) | $21,203M | $20,889M | +2% |
| Net Sales (FY) | $87,032M | $84,284M | +3% |
| Gross Margin (Q4) | 48.5% | 49.1% | (60) bps |
| Gross Margin (FY) | 50.2% | 51.2% | (100) bps |
| Operating Income (Q4) | $3,949M | $4,355M | (9)% |
| Operating Income (FY) | $19,748M | $20,451M | (3)% |
| Net Earnings (Q4) | $3,081M | $3,626M | (15)% |
| Net Earnings (FY) | $16,144M | $16,065M | —% |
| Diluted EPS (Q4, GAAP) | $1.26 | $1.48 | (15)% |
| Diluted EPS (FY, GAAP) | $6.62 | $6.51 | +2% |
| Core EPS (Q4, Non-GAAP) | $1.43 | $1.48 | (3)% |
| Core EPS (FY, Non-GAAP) | $6.89 | $6.83 | +1% |
| Organic Sales Growth (Q4) | —% | — | — |
| Organic Sales Growth (FY) | +1% | — | — |
| 期间 | 指标 | 指引 | 口径 |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2027 | Net Sales Growth | +1% to +3% | All-in |
| FY2027 | Organic Sales Growth | +1% to +3% | Non-GAAP |
| FY2027 | Diluted EPS Growth | +1% to +5% | GAAP |
| FY2027 | Core EPS Growth | in-line to +3% | Non-GAAP |
| FY2027 | Core EPS | $6.89 to $7.11 (mid-point $7.00) | Non-GAAP |
| FY2027 | Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity | 85% to 90% | Non-GAAP |
简评
宝洁FY26全年净销售额$87.0B,同比+3%,主要由有利汇率(+2%)和提价(+1%)驱动,销量与组合持平;有机销售仅+1%,显示核心业务增长动能偏弱。Q4净销售额$21.2B,同比+2%,但有机销售持平,销量、价格、组合均无贡献,增长完全依赖汇率和四舍五入。盈利端Q4明显承压:GAAP摊薄EPS $1.26,同比-15%,主因SG&A占比上升160bps(含营销再投资)和毛利率下滑60bps;Core EPS $1.43,同比-3%,剔除重组费用后核心营业利润率仍下降130bps。全年GAAP EPS $6.62,同比+2%,Core EPS $6.89,同比+1%,货币中性核心EPS持平,反映实际经营改善有限。
分部表现分化:Beauty Q4有机销售+4%表现最佳,由Hair Care和Personal Care中个位数增长驱动;Health Care有机销售-1%,Oral Care中个位数下滑拖累;Baby, Feminine & Family Care有机销售-2%,Family Care中个位数下滑。管理层强调"基础建设之年",CEO Shailesh Jejurikar表示FY27将"加倍投入战略、以消费者为先",并预期"逐学期加速增长"。FY27指引温和:全口径和有机销售均增长1%-3%,核心EPS增长0%-3%($6.89-$7.11),但面临$0.56/股逆风(成本上涨$1B税后、利息支出$150M、非经营收入减少$150M、汇率不利$50M),指引隐含对提价和生产率计划的依赖。资本返还方面,FY26返还股东超$15B(股息$10.2B+回购$5.0B),连续70年增加股息,FY27计划股息约$10B、回购约$5B,支撑股东回报预期。