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10-Q2026-11-03· merged:deepseek-v4-flash

UPST · Upstart Holdings, Inc.

0001647639-26-000084

SEC filing

Summary

放款额同比增44%驱动费用收入增41%,但公允价值损失与利息支出扩大使净利仅增15%,利润率承压。

Key takeaways

Full analysis

业绩速览与解读

KPI 速览

指标本期去年同期同比
Revenue$370.5M$277.1M+34%
Gross Profit———
Gross Margin———
Operating Income$36.0M$23.7M+52%
Operating Margin10%9%+100 bps
Net Income$36.6M$31.8M+15%
Diluted EPS———
Adj. EBITDA$89.3M$71.2M+26%

注:本片未披露 Gross Profit / Gross Margin / Diluted EPS,故省略对应行;Operating Margin 为公司口径(income from operations ÷ revenue from fees, net)。

业绩解读

增长桥:Originations, Dollars 同比增44%至$4,117.8M,笔数增34%至574,089笔,笔数增速低于金额增速,主因平均贷款规模上升——auto loans 与 HELOCs 占比提高、small dollar loans 占比下降。费用收入净额增41%至$364.0M,其中 platform and referral fees 增31%至$283.1M、servicing and other fees 增68%至$69.8M、loan sales fees 新增$11.1M。但 Total revenue 仅增34%,因利息/公允价值净额由$18.6M降至$6.5M(-65%)。

margin 归因:Contribution Margin 由57%升至60%,主因收入增速(+41%)快于直接费用增速(+31%);但九个月口径由57%降至55%,显示产品结构向低贡献产品倾斜。Operating Margin 由9%升至10%(+100 bps),因收入增速快于运营费用增速(+32%)。Adjusted EBITDA Margin 由26%降至24%(-200 bps),因 SBC 及薪酬税调整项由$35.4M升至$40.9M。

盈利质量:Income from operations 增52%至$36.0M,但 Net income 仅增15%至$36.6M——差额来自公允价值调整净损失扩大$7.3M、利息支出增加$4.1M(含可转换票据$5.0M重分类),以及2025年同期$7.2M债务清偿收益不再出现。SBC 由$34.2M升至$40.0M,占收入比重约11%,为非现金但持续性费用。

分部表现

分部营收同比经营利润/EBITDA利润率驱动
Platform and referral fees, net$283.1M+31%——Originations, Dollars 增44%,部分被 loan premium/trailing fees 抵消
Servicing and other fees, net$69.8M+68%——服务贷款本金余额上升、服务权净收益增加、borrower fees 增加
Loan sales fees$11.1M新增——forward-flow 销售量扩大,2025年同期为零

注:公司未按分部披露经营利润/利润率,故相关列留空。

资产负债 · 资本配置

资产负债与流动性

项目本期末(2026-09-30)上期末(2025-12-31)变化
Cash & equivalents$461.5M$652.4M-$190.9M
Restricted cash$667.0M$404.6M+$262.4M
Total cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash$1,128.5M$1,057.0M+$71.5M
Loans (at fair value)$940.7M$984.6M-$43.8M
Beneficial interest assets (at fair value)$613.7M$396.2M+$217.4M
Total assets$3,339.0M$2,974.8M+$364.2M
Borrowings$2,027.3M$1,829.1M+$198.2M
Payable to securitization note holders (at fair value)$25.5M$46.5M-$21.0M
Total liabilities$2,451.6M$2,176.0M+$275.6M
Total stockholders' equity$887.4M$798.8M+$88.6M

Notes未单独披露 Marketable securities、RPO / Deferred revenue 及 EBITDA,故相关行省略;Net Debt 因 Marketable securities 未披露而无法按口径计算。受限现金大幅上升主要与合并VIE内现金增加相关(合并VIE受限现金由$89.1M降至$76.9M,但整体受限现金仍上升)。

资本配置

项目金额 / 数量说明
股票回购(九个月)$100.1M / 3,193,294 股2026年九个月累计,计入APIC减少
股票期权行权(九个月)1,630,302 股 / $9.5M股本增加来源之一
RSU结算(九个月)2,135,063 股稀释股份增加
ESPP发行(九个月)301,527 股 / $7.8M—
股权激励费用(九个月)$124.9M其中$5.6M资本化
借款新增(九个月)$771.7M仓储融资为主
借款偿还(九个月)$511.8M—
可转债回购及偿还(九个月)$66.5M2025年同期为$224.2M
证券化票据本金支付(九个月)$20.6M—
资本化软件成本(九个月)$13.0M另购置物业设备$5.7M

Notes未披露股息、回购剩余授权额度或新增授权,故不列示。九个月回购$100.1M与股权激励费用$124.9M并存,净股份数仍由98.03M增至98.91M。

分部与客户集中度

Notes未披露分部收入或经营利润(公司按单一业务报告),但披露客户集中度:

客户2026 Q3 收入占比2025 Q3 收入占比2026 九个月2025 九个月
Customer A41%37%35%33%
Customer B13%16%16%20%
Customer C12%***
Customer D*11%*10%
  • 低于10%。Customer A 占比上升,单一客户依赖度提高。

收入结构与表外敞口

项目2026 Q32025 Q32026 九个月2025 九个月
Platform and referral fees, net$283.1M$216.9M$791.8M$570.7M
Servicing and other fees, net$69.8M$41.7M$173.7M$114.1M
Loan sales fees$11.1M—$23.6M—
Total revenue from fees, net$364.0M$258.5M$989.1M$684.8M
表外/VIE 项目2026-09-302025-12-31
未合并证券化VIE资产$2,989.9M$2,016.8M
未合并证券化VIE负债$2,059.8M$1,427.0M
最大损失敞口(证券化)$145.8M$101.7M
合并VIE总资产$845.7M$916.0M
合并VIE总负债$361.7M$167.4M
合并VIE净资产$483.9M$748.5M

合并VIE净资产由$748.5M降至$483.9M,主要因“Other consolidated VIEs”净资产由$671.4M降至$290.5M,而合并仓储实体负债由$101.8M升至$332.5M。

现金流质量

项目本期去年同期
Operating Cash Flow-$289,681K-$256,277K
Capex(Purchases of property and equipment + Capitalized software costs)$18,675K$14,488K
Free Cash Flow——
FCF 转化率(FCF/Net Income)——
Share Repurchases$100,057K—
Dividends Paid——

现金流质量点评:本期 Net income 为 $46,471K 而 CFO 为 -$289,681K,二者严重背离,主因贷款购买与发放($9,721,430K)显著超过出售回款($9,038,098K),叠加贷款公允价值变动 +$110,989K 等非现金调整,营运资本对现金形成大额占用。Capex 合计约 $18,675K,强度不高,但 CFO 为负使 FCF 无法覆盖 $100,057K 的股票回购,资本返还依赖融资活动净流入 $148,993K 及存量现金,现金及现金等价物由 $652,388K 降至 $461,484K,需关注后续融资与贷款周转节奏。