0001691421-26-000068
SEC filing再保险分出率下降推动净已赚保费翻倍,营收增73%,但赔付同步上升致净亏损扩大至$43.7M。
| 指标 | 本期(Q3 2026) | 去年同期(Q3 2025) | 同比 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $336.1M | $194.5M | +73% |
| Gross profit | $118.1M | $79.9M | +48% |
| Gross profit margin | 35% | 41% | -600 bps |
| Net loss | $(43.7)M | $(37.5)M | 亏损扩大17% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $(20.4)M | $(25.6)M | 亏损收窄 |
| Gross earned premium | $364.1M | $274.7M | +33% |
| Net earned premium | $294.8M | $140.0M | +111% |
| Gross loss ratio | 65% | 62% | +300 bps |
| Net loss ratio | 64% | 64% | 持平 |
前九月口径:Total revenue $888.5M(+74%)、Gross profit $331.4M(+81%)、Net loss $(122.9)M(收窄15%)、Adjusted EBITDA $(56.2)M(去年$(113.5)M)、Gross loss ratio 62%(去年69%)、Net loss ratio 63%(去年71%)。
增长桥以“量”为主:Gross written premium $450.7M 同比+35%,其中客户数同比+23%(数字广告与合作伙伴驱动)、Premium per customer $440 同比+9%(多保单占比提升、平均保额上升、产品结构向高价值迁移),另有德州车险 fronting 假设保费贡献。真正的营收弹性来自再保险结构:分出率由49%降至19%,使 Net earned premium $294.8M 同比+111%,远超毛保费33%的增速;代价是 Ceding commission income 同比-46%至$17.4M。
利润率归因:Gross profit margin 由41%降至35%(-600bps),核心是分出率下降后更多赔付留在表内——Loss and LAE, net $187.4M 同比+109%,与净已赚保费同步放大;部分被 homeowners multi-peril 与车险的有利准备金释放抵消。费用端全面扩张:Sales and marketing +44%(广告及伙伴支付+53%)、G&A +45%(含CEO/总裁2026年3月股权激励、坏账+88%、GC借款利息+76%)。
盈利质量:GAAP 净亏损扩大至$(43.7)M,但 Adjusted EBITDA 亏损收窄至$(20.4)M,差异主要来自$23.2M股权激励与$8.1M利息费用等非现金/融资项;公司自述口径的“Ratio of Adjusted gross profit to Gross earned premium”由29%升至33%,是剔除再保险结构波动后更能反映承保盈利改善的指标。
本片未按分部披露营收与经营利润,仅披露产品/地域定性描述(renters、homeowners、pet、car、life;美国、欧洲含英国),故不列分部表。
| 项目 | 2026-09-30 | 2025-12-31 | 变化 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | $369.2M | $385.0M | -$15.8M |
| Restricted cash | $16.0M | $11.8M | +$4.2M |
| Total investments(fixed maturities + short-term) | $793.7M | $722.9M | +$70.8M |
| Total Debt(Borrowings under financing agreement) | $231.6M | $158.1M | +$73.5M |
| Net Debt(Total Debt − Cash & equivalents) | -$137.6M | -$226.9M | +$89.3M |
| Unearned premium | $748.2M | $577.0M | +$171.2M |
| Unpaid loss and LAE | $321.2M | $303.1M | +$18.1M |
| Shareholders' Equity | $471.8M | $533.6M | -$61.8M |
| 项目 | 金额/条款 |
|---|---|
| 融资协议借款(GC)新增 | $140.8M |
| 融资协议借款偿还 | $67.4M |
| 期末借款余额 | $231.6M |
| 前九个月利息费用 | $21.3M(计入 G&A) |
| 前九个月资本开支(Purchases of property and equipment) | $13.5M |
| 前九个月股票薪酬费用 | $68.9M |
| 未确认股票期权费用 | $22.2M(剩余加权平均归属期 1.1 年) |
| 未确认 RSU 费用 | $224.0M(剩余加权平均归属期 2.4 年) |
| 回购 / 分红 | 未披露 |
| 项目 | 2026 前九个月 | 2025 前九个月 | 变化 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $888.5M | $509.8M | +$378.7M |
| Loss and LAE, net | $474.7M | $252.5M | +$222.2M |
| Advertising expenses | $189.4M | $133.9M | +$55.5M |
| Interest expense | $21.3M | $11.9M | +$9.4M |
| Segment / Consolidated Net Loss | -$122.9M | -$143.8M | 亏损收窄 $20.9M |
| 地区 GWP | 2026 前九个月 | 占比 | 2025 前九个月 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | $1,122.7M | 95.6% | $839.7M | 96.3% |
| Europe and UK | $51.9M | 4.4% | $32.3M | 3.7% |
| Total | $1,174.6M | 100.0% | $872.0M | 100.0% |
| 项目 | 本期 | 去年同期 |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.3M | -$37.2M |
| Capex | $13.5M | $6.3M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$10.2M | -$43.5M |
| FCF 转化率 (FCF/Net Income) | — | — |
| Share Repurchases | $0M | $0M |
| Dividends Paid | $0M | $0M |
CFO 由负转正($3.3M vs -$37.2M),但相对净亏损 $122.9M 仍显薄弱,主要靠 SBC $68.9M 与未到期保费 +$171.2M 支撑,同时应收保费 -$181.0M 形成明显营运资本拖累。Capex 升至 $13.5M 使 FCF 为负(约 -$10.2M),本期无回购与分红,资本返还完全缺失,现金余额下降 $11.6M 至 $385.2M,融资端依赖借款净流入 $73.4M。